How accurate are BeCoin bond yield predictions?

65–70% directional accuracy on 24h forecasts, 58–63% weekly. Bond yields are heavily influenced by central bank policy.

What is the 2s10s spread?

The difference between 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields. Positive means a normal curve, negative means inverted (recession signal).

Is BeCoin bond forecast financial advice?

No. All forecasts are for educational and research purposes only. Bond trading involves risk of loss.

Hasashen Lamuni | Hankali na yau da kullun, mako-mako, kowane wata da na shekara

Q: Menene ma'anar lokacin da yawan amfanin ƙasa ya ragu a cikin hasashen shekara?

Falling yields mean bond prices rise. The model expects central banks to cut rates, pushing yields lower and bond values higher.

Duka Kripto Canjin kuɗi Hannun jari Kayayyaki Fihirisa ETF Takardun bashi

Kadari	Kashi	Farashin Gaskiya	Gobe	Kwanaki 7	Wata mai zuwa	Shekara mai zuwa	Shekaru 5	Shekaru 10	Sigina na MACD	Tsaye na MA	Jajere na MA-200	Canji	Ratsin Sharpe	Amfani Rabon
US10 US 10Y Baitul mali US10Y	Takardun bashi	4.48%	4.45% -0.63%	4.41% -1.54%	4.34% -3.02%	4.24% -5.32%	4.13% -7.84%	9.50% +112.13%	Bearish	Giciyen Mutuwa	Downtrend4.54% kasa	Matsakaici29.05%	0.49	3.97%
US30 US 30Y Baitul mali US30Y	Takardun bashi	4.96%	4.93% -0.62%	4.89% -1.49%	4.87% -1.91%	4.79% -3.35%	4.80% -3.29%	10.68% +115.29%	Bearish	tsaka tsaki	Downtrend1.51% kasa	Matsakaici33.22%	0.75	4.39%
US2Y Samuwar Baitul malin Amurka 2Y US2Y	Takardun bashi	4.08%	4.06% -0.61%	4.02% -1.54%	3.96% -3.09%	3.84% -6.00%	3.64% -10.86%	8.57% +110.03%	Bearish	Giciyen Mutuwa	Downtrend9.88% kasa	Matsakaici37.09%	0.21	4.38%
UK10 UK 10Y Yawan Samuwar Gilt UK10Y	Takardun bashi	4.91%	4.88% -0.61%	4.84% -1.53%	4.76% -3.05%	5.02% +2.14%	5.37% +9.24%	10.64% +116.64%	Tsanani	Golden Cross	Uptrend7.59% a sama	Matsakaici37.90%	1.64	4.50%
DE10 Jamus 10Y Kwanan Haɓaka DE10Y	Takardun bashi	3.03%	3.02% -0.60%	2.99% -1.53%	2.94% -3.04%	3.13% +3.35%	3.33% +9.81%	6.42% +111.66%	Tsanani	Golden Cross	Uptrend5.01% a sama	Matsakaici35.56%	1.18	4.39%

Sanarwar haɗari: Wannan hasashen bayani ne kawai, ba shawarar kuɗi ba; daidaito ya dogara da sauyin farashi, ruwa, al'amuran macro da sauran abubuwan waje.

Shahararrun kadarorin ciniki

Abubuwan da aka bayar na US

US2Y

↓ −1bp

US5Y

↑ +1bp

Sarakunan Turai

OAT

Faransa OAT

↑ +1bp

BTP

Italiya BTP

↑ +2bp

Kasuwancen Asiya-Pacific

JGB

Japan JGB

↑ +1bp

AGB

Ostiraliya 10Y

↑ +2bp

CGB

China 10Y

↓ −1bp

KTB

Koriya ta Kudu 10Y

↑ +1bp

Wane Tsari Yayi Maka?

Kowane ginshiƙi a cikin tebur yana ba da dabarar kafaffen samun kudin shiga daban-daban.

Gobe

Bond Scalpers

Kasuwancin ranar ciniki na gaba. Yi martani ga sakamakon gwanjo & kwafin tattalin arziki.

Mako Mai Zuwa

Macro Yan kasuwa

Matsayi kusa da tarurrukan FOMC, sakin CPI & rahotannin aiki.

Wata mai zuwa

Masu Cin Hanci

Cinikin steepener/falattener, sarrafa tsawon lokaci & shinge.

Shekara mai zuwa

Masu saka hannun jari

Makulle yawan amfanin ƙasa, maturities na tsani & sanyawa tsarin ƙima.

Yadda Ake Aiki

Rate & Curve Analysis

Fed yana ba da kuɗi na gaba, OIS swaps, ƙirar ƙira mai ƙima, haɓaka mai ƙarfi.

Manufar Babban Bankin

FOMC makirufo digo, ECB jagora na gaba, BoJ YCC, BoE siginar MPC.

Bayanan Haɓakawa & Haɓaka

50K+ tushen - CPI, PCE, aiki, GDP, Buƙatar gwanjon Baitulmali.

Muhimmiyar Rarrabawa

Duk tsinkaya don dalilai na ilimi kawai. Dangane da bayanan tarihi tare da matsakaicin daidaiton 65–70%. Abubuwan haɗin gwiwa na iya canzawa a kowane lokaci.

Ba shawara na kudi ba. Kafaffen ciniki na samun kudin shiga ya ƙunshi haɗari gami da asarar babba. Tuntuɓi mai ba da shawara mai lasisi kafin ciniki.

US Dept

Tarayyar Tarayya

Bayanan Bayani na ECB & BoJ

50K+ Madogaran Labarai

Sakamakon gwanjo

Sabunta Sa'a

Tambayoyin da ake yawan yi

Yaya daidai yake hasashen yawan amfanin ƙasa?

65–70% daidaiton jagora akan hasashen 24h, 58–63% mako-mako. Manufofin banki na tsakiya suna tasiri sosai akan abubuwan da ake samu na lamuni wanda zai iya canzawa cikin sauri.

Sau nawa ake sabunta hasashen haɗin gwiwa?

Kowane awa. Ƙarin ƙididdigewa a cikin minti na 15 bayan FOMC yanke shawara, sakin CPI/NFP, Kasuwancin Baitulmali, ko ECB/BoJ canje-canjen manufofin.

Menene ma'anar lokacin da yawan amfanin ƙasa ya ragu a cikin hasashen shekara?

Faɗuwar amfanin ƙasa yana nufin hauhawar farashin haɗin gwiwa. Samfurin yana tsammanin bankunan tsakiya za su rage farashin a cikin shekara mai zuwa, wanda ke haifar da raguwar yawan amfanin ƙasa da ƙimar haɗin gwiwa mafi girma.

Me yasa hasashen yawan amfanin JGB na Japan ke tashi?

A hankali Bankin Japan yana daidaita manufofin nesa da ƙananan farashi. Ayyukan ƙirar sun ci gaba da matsananciyar matsa lamba a kan amfanin Jafananci.

Menene yaduwar 2s10s da aka nuna a cikin Kasuwa Pulse?

Bambanci ne tsakanin shekara-10 da yawan amfanin Baitul-mali na shekara-2. Tabbatacce = madaurin al'ada, korau = jujjuyawar lankwasa (siginar koma bayan tattalin arziki). A halin yanzu +22bp (mai sauƙi tabbatacce).

Wannan shawarar kudi ce?

A'a. Ilimi kawai. Kasuwancin jingina ya ƙunshi haɗarin asara. Koyaushe yi naku binciken kuma tuntuɓi mai ba da shawara kan kuɗi mai lasisi.

Samun Cikakkun Dama ga Duk Hasashen Lamuni & Hasashen Hasashen

Sigina na cikin rana, faɗakarwar al'ada, da 20+ haɗin kai daga US, Turai, da Asiya-Pacific.

Samun Cikakkun Hanya

Mafi Girman Haɓakawa Shekara-shekara

Haɓaka Haɓaka Mako Mai Zuwa mako-mako

Shahararrun kadarorin ciniki

Wane Tsari Yayi Maka?

Yadda Ake Aiki

Rate & Curve Analysis

Manufar Babban Bankin

Bayanan Haɓakawa & Haɓaka

Muhimmiyar Rarrabawa

Tambayoyin da ake yawan yi

Samun Cikakkun Dama ga Duk Hasashen Lamuni & Hasashen Hasashen