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US 10Y Treasury Yield Prognoza: Jutro, Tydzień, Miesiąc, 5 Lata

Zaktualizowano: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -2.15%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Rates + macro

Podsumowanie prognozy

Ramy czasowePrzewidywana cenaPrzeszłośćHistorycznyWgląd
Jutro4.068% -0.54%Wczoraj4.180% +0.48%Tomorrow's US 10Y Treasury Yield (US10Y) setup is anchored to 4.090% and targets 4.068% (-0.54%). The near-term read is downside; watch 4.143% / 4.037% because daily realized volatility is about 0.63%.
Tomorrow's US 10Y Treasury Yield (US10Y) setup is anchored to 4.090% and targets 4.068% (-0.54%). The near-term read is downside; watch 4.143% / 4.037% because daily realized volatility is about 0.63%.
Tydzień4.035% -1.34%Ostatni tydzień4.280% +0.94%The 7-day US 10Y Treasury Yield model moves from 4.280% to 4.035% (-1.34%). It gives downside momentum context for this bond yield, so breaks around 4.143% / 4.037% matter more than a single tick.
The 7-day US 10Y Treasury Yield model moves from 4.280% to 4.035% (-1.34%). It gives downside momentum context for this bond yield, so breaks around 4.143% / 4.037% matter more than a single tick.
Miesiąc4.019% -1.73%Ostatni miesiąc4.140% 0.00%The 1-month US 10Y Treasury Yield target is 4.019% (-1.73%), compared with the live reference near 4.090%. This horizon blends current trend pressure with yield momentum, rate expectations, and duration risk.
The 1-month US 10Y Treasury Yield target is 4.019% (-1.73%), compared with the live reference near 4.090%. This horizon blends current trend pressure with yield momentum, rate expectations, and duration risk.
Rok4.056% -0.82%Ostatni rok4.490% +4.91%The 1-year US 10Y Treasury Yield scenario points to 4.056% (-0.82%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
The 1-year US 10Y Treasury Yield scenario points to 4.056% (-0.82%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5 Lata4.038% -1.26%5 Wiele lat temu4.280% -4.68%The 5-year US 10Y Treasury Yield view is 4.038% (-1.26%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
The 5-year US 10Y Treasury Yield view is 4.038% (-1.26%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
Jutro4.068% -0.54%
Wczoraj4.180% +0.48%
Tomorrow's US 10Y Treasury Yield (US10Y) setup is anchored to 4.090% and targets 4.068% (-0.54%). The near-term read is downside; watch 4.143% / 4.037% because daily realized volatility is about 0.63%.
Tydzień4.035% -1.34%
Ostatni tydzień4.280% +0.94%
The 7-day US 10Y Treasury Yield model moves from 4.280% to 4.035% (-1.34%). It gives downside momentum context for this bond yield, so breaks around 4.143% / 4.037% matter more than a single tick.
Miesiąc4.019% -1.73%
Ostatni miesiąc4.140% 0.00%
The 1-month US 10Y Treasury Yield target is 4.019% (-1.73%), compared with the live reference near 4.090%. This horizon blends current trend pressure with yield momentum, rate expectations, and duration risk.
Rok4.056% -0.82%
Ostatni rok4.490% +4.91%
The 1-year US 10Y Treasury Yield scenario points to 4.056% (-0.82%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5 Lata4.038% -1.26%
5 Wiele lat temu4.280% -4.68%
The 5-year US 10Y Treasury Yield view is 4.038% (-1.26%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Wykres cen

HistorycznyPrognozaZwyżkowyNiedźwiedzi
4.220%4.154%4.088%4.022%3.956%1W AgoNow7D F

Analiza techniczna

SprzedaćNeutralnyKupić
Bearish
1
Zwyżkowy
0
Neutralny
4
Niedźwiedzi

Kluczowe wskaźniki

WskaźnikWartośćSygnał
RSI 1431.6 Bearish
MACD0.07 Bullish
SMA 504.185% Below
SMA 2004.233% Below
EMA 204.182% Below

Dane historyczne

Open4.180%
Start Date
Day Range4.090% – 4.300%
Market Cap
Monthly Range4.090% – 4.300%
24h Volume
90D Range3.970% – 4.300%
Circulating
52W Range3.970% – 4.620%
Max Supply
Open4.180%Start Date
Day Range4.090% – 4.300%Market Cap
Monthly Range4.090% – 4.300%24h Volume
90D Range3.970% – 4.300%Circulating
52W Range3.970% – 4.620%Max Supply

Poziomy wsparcia i oporu

4.250%R3 — upper range
4.189%R2 — swing high
4.143%R1 — near-term cap
4.090%Aktualna cenaUS10Y
4.037%S1 — short-term supportSupport
3.991%S2 — trend support
3.930%S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 4.143%; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 4.037%; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 0.85%.

Kamienie milowe cen

Kluczowe poziomy i kontekst historyczny
Recent4.090%Current
Current reference level.
90D High4.300%Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low3.970%Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Dokładność prognozy

Jak spisał się nasz model
74%
Kierunkowy
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Nasz algorytm jest co tydzień ponownie kalibrowany przy użyciu najnowszych akcji cenowych, reżimu zmienności i sygnałów wskaźnikowych. Dokładność różni się w zależności od przedziału czasowego – dynamika krótkoterminowa jest bardziej wiarygodna niż prognozy długoterminowe.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Scenariusze inwestycyjne

Jeśli dzisiaj zainwestujesz $1,000 w US10Y
Bullish Case
$1,170.29
+17.03% from current
Cena docelowa4.786%
ScenariuszBreakout continuation
Prawdopodobieństwo25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
Cena docelowa4.254%
ScenariuszTrend-following baseline
Prawdopodobieństwo50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
Cena docelowa3.599%
ScenariuszVolatility drawdown
Prawdopodobieństwo25%
Podstawa: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.04% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.85% daily).

Czynniki prognozy

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 45/100
24H drift-0.54%
7D drift-1.34%
30D drift-1.73%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 37/100
RSI31.7 · Bearish
MACD0.08 · Bullish
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 47/100
1M outlook-1.73%
1Y outlook-0.82%
5Y outlook-1.26%

Często zadawane pytania

Q What is the US 10Y Treasury Yield (US10Y) forecast for tomorrow?
Using the latest BeCoin market snapshot (February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC), US 10Y Treasury Yield is projected near 4.068% versus the current reference around 4.090%. That implies a modeled move of -0.54% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day bond yield outlook suggest for US10Y?
The weekly US 10Y Treasury Yield model points to 4.035%, which maps to an expected drift of -1.34% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so support/resistance breaks can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the US 10Y Treasury Yield 1-month and 1-year targets?
The US 10Y Treasury Yield 1-month target is 4.019% (-1.73%), while the 1-year target is 4.056% (-0.82%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions shaped by yield momentum, rate expectations, and duration risk.
Q Why does the US 10Y Treasury Yield 5-year scenario differ from short-term rows?
The US 10Y Treasury Yield long-horizon scenario sits near 4.038% with a modeled change of -1.26%. It compounds cycle-continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are US10Y support and resistance zones right now?
For US 10Y Treasury Yield, nearest resistance is around 4.143%, while nearest support is around 4.037%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh is the US 10Y Treasury Yield market snapshot?
The displayed bond yield snapshot is labeled February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC; the latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the market feed so the FAQ, milestones, and support/resistance context stay tied to the same data refresh.

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US 10Y Treasury Yield Prognoza 2026 - Jutro, Tydzień & Miesiąc