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Pronóstico de Gold: mañana, Semana, Mes, 5 Años

Actualizado: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +178.94%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

Resumen de Pronóstico

PeriodoPrecio PrevistoPasadoHistóricoComentario
mañana$5,172.92 +3.19%ayer$5,022.00 +2.00%Tomorrow's Gold (XAU) setup is anchored to $5,013.10 and targets $5,172.92 (+3.19%). The near-term read is upside; watch $5,234.86 / $4,791.34 because daily realized volatility is about 8.00%.
Tomorrow's Gold (XAU) setup is anchored to $5,013.10 and targets $5,172.92 (+3.19%). The near-term read is upside; watch $5,234.86 / $4,791.34 because daily realized volatility is about 8.00%.
Semana$5,432.64 +8.37%La semana pasada$4,861.40 -4.30%The 7-day Gold model moves from $4,861.40 to $5,432.64 (+8.37%). It gives upside momentum context for this commodity, so breaks around $5,234.86 / $4,791.34 matter more than a single tick.
The 7-day Gold model moves from $4,861.40 to $5,432.64 (+8.37%). It gives upside momentum context for this commodity, so breaks around $5,234.86 / $4,791.34 matter more than a single tick.
Mes$5,852.09 +16.74%El mes pasado$4,314.40 +6.23%The 1-month Gold target is $5,852.09 (+16.74%), compared with the live reference near $5,013.10. This horizon blends current trend pressure with supply-demand pressure, dollar sensitivity, and volatility.
The 1-month Gold target is $5,852.09 (+16.74%), compared with the live reference near $5,013.10. This horizon blends current trend pressure with supply-demand pressure, dollar sensitivity, and volatility.
Año$5,950.72 +18.70%El año pasado$2,883.60 +44.88%The 1-year Gold scenario points to $5,950.72 (+18.70%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
The 1-year Gold scenario points to $5,950.72 (+18.70%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5 Años$6,526.05 +30.18%5 Hace años$1,797.20 -37.68%The 5-year Gold view is $6,526.05 (+30.18%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
The 5-year Gold view is $6,526.05 (+30.18%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
mañana$5,172.92 +3.19%
ayer$5,022.00 +2.00%
Tomorrow's Gold (XAU) setup is anchored to $5,013.10 and targets $5,172.92 (+3.19%). The near-term read is upside; watch $5,234.86 / $4,791.34 because daily realized volatility is about 8.00%.
Semana$5,432.64 +8.37%
La semana pasada$4,861.40 -4.30%
The 7-day Gold model moves from $4,861.40 to $5,432.64 (+8.37%). It gives upside momentum context for this commodity, so breaks around $5,234.86 / $4,791.34 matter more than a single tick.
Mes$5,852.09 +16.74%
El mes pasado$4,314.40 +6.23%
The 1-month Gold target is $5,852.09 (+16.74%), compared with the live reference near $5,013.10. This horizon blends current trend pressure with supply-demand pressure, dollar sensitivity, and volatility.
Año$5,950.72 +18.70%
El año pasado$2,883.60 +44.88%
The 1-year Gold scenario points to $5,950.72 (+18.70%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5 Años$6,526.05 +30.18%
5 Hace años$1,797.20 -37.68%
The 5-year Gold view is $6,526.05 (+30.18%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.
Mira cuánto valdrían hoy $1,000 invertidos en oro con la calculadora de retornos históricos.

Gráfico de Precio

HistóricoPronósticoAlcistaBajista
$5,794.42$5,562.15$5,329.88$5,097.61$4,865.341W AgoNow7D F

Análisis Técnico

VenderNeutroComprar
Bullish
4
Alcista
1
Neutro
0
Bajista

Indicadores Clave

IndicadorValorSeñal
RSI 1448.7 Neutral
MACD14.32 Bullish
SMA 50$4,623.59 Above
SMA 200$3,860.54 Above
EMA 20$1,757.89 Above

Datos Históricos

Open$5,050.00
Start Date
Day Range$4,981.90 – $5,074.40
Market Cap
Monthly Range$4,436.90 – $5,318.40
24h Volume
90D Range$3,946.30 – $5,318.40
Circulating
52W Range$2,836.80 – $5,318.40
Max Supply
Open$5,050.00Start Date
Day Range$4,981.90 – $5,074.40Market Cap
Monthly Range$4,436.90 – $5,318.4024h Volume
90D Range$3,946.30 – $5,318.40Circulating
52W Range$2,836.80 – $5,318.40Max Supply

Niveles de Soporte y Resistencia

$5,678.37R3 — upper range
$5,424.94R2 — swing high
$5,234.86R1 — near-term cap
$5,013.10Precio actualXAU
$4,791.34S1 — short-term supportSupport
$4,601.26S2 — trend support
$4,347.83S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is $5,234.86; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near $4,791.34; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 2.87%.

Hitos de Precio

Niveles clave y contexto histórico
Recent$5,013.10Current
Current reference level.
90D High$5,318.40Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low$3,946.30Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Precisión del Pronóstico

Cómo ha rendido nuestro modelo
75%
Direccional
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Nuestro algoritmo se recalibra semanalmente usando la última acción del precio, el régimen de volatilidad y las señales de indicadores. La precisión varía por periodo: el impulso de corto plazo es más confiable que las proyecciones de largo plazo.
Tomorrow
79%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
76%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
73%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
68%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Escenarios de Inversión

Si inviertes $1,000 en XAU hoy
Bullish Case
$1,400.70
+40.07% from current
Precio Objetivo$7,021.85
EscenarioBreakout continuation
Probabilidad25%
Base Case
$1,187.03
+18.70% from current
Precio Objetivo$5,950.72
EscenarioTrend-following baseline
Probabilidad50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
Precio Objetivo$4,411.53
EscenarioVolatility drawdown
Probabilidad25%
Fundamento: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.54% / 30D) and volatility regime (2.87% daily).

Factores del Pronóstico

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 88/100
24H drift+3.19%
7D drift+8.37%
30D drift+16.74%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 77/100
RSI48.2 · Neutral
MACD14.25 · Bullish
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 71/100
1M outlook+16.74%
1Y outlook+18.70%
5Y outlook+30.18%

Preguntas Frecuentes

Q What is the Gold (XAU) forecast for tomorrow?
Using the latest BeCoin market snapshot (February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC), Gold is projected near $5,172.92 versus the current reference around $5,013.10. That implies a modeled move of +3.19% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day commodity outlook suggest for XAU?
The weekly Gold model points to $5,432.64, which maps to an expected drift of +8.37% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so support/resistance breaks can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the Gold 1-month and 1-year targets?
The Gold 1-month target is $5,852.09 (+16.74%), while the 1-year target is $5,950.72 (+18.70%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions shaped by supply-demand pressure, dollar sensitivity, and volatility.
Q Why does the Gold 5-year scenario differ from short-term rows?
The Gold long-horizon scenario sits near $6,526.05 with a modeled change of +30.18%. It compounds cycle-continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are XAU support and resistance zones right now?
For Gold, nearest resistance is around $5,234.86, while nearest support is around $4,791.34. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh is the Gold market snapshot?
The displayed commodity snapshot is labeled February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC; the latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the market feed so the FAQ, milestones, and support/resistance context stay tied to the same data refresh.

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